(Updated 9/23/25)
You’ve probably heard this piece of real estate wisdom before: “Yesterday was the best time to buy a home, but the next best time is today.”
Here’s what catches a lot of buyers off guard: the longer you wait around, the more expensive buying a home could actually become. And you deserve to know exactly why that happens.
What the experts are saying about future prices
Every three months, over 100 housing market experts share their predictions in something called the Home Price Expectations Survey from Fannie Mae. And guess what? They pretty much all agree on one thing: nationally, home prices are expected to keep rising through at least 2029.
Now, don’t panic – those crazy sharp price increases we saw during the pandemic are definitely behind us. But experts are projecting a steady, healthy, and much more sustainable increase of about 3-4% per year going forward. While this will vary quite a bit depending on your local market and what year we’re talking about, the good news is that this is a way more normal pace. That’s actually a welcome sign for both the housing market and hopeful buyers like you.
But let’s be honest about where things stand right now. The housing market has definitely become more buyer-friendly lately, but even with these improvements, lots of potential buyers are still sitting on the bench because of those record-high prices. The median sale price of an existing home in the U.S. hit $422,400 in July 2025 – that’s the highest July price the National Association of Realtors (NAR) has ever recorded. And according to the July Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index, about three-quarters of consumers – 77 percent to be exact – think it’s a bad time to buy a house.
It makes total sense why so many people feel this way. When you’re staring at these price tags, it can feel completely overwhelming and maybe even impossible to break into the market. But here’s the thing – while those scary headlines are definitely grabbing attention, there’s actually more to the story that’s worth thinking about.
The current market might be better than you think
After being at a serious disadvantage for the past few years, things are actually starting to look up for homebuyers in several important ways. Let’s break down what’s really happening right now that might give you some genuine hope:
Mortgage rates are getting better – For starters, mortgage rates are sitting at their lowest level in nearly a year, with the 30-year fixed rate averaging 6.62 percent as of mid-August, according to Bankrate’s weekly survey of large lenders. This definitely helps with affordability. Sure, rates have come down from that scary high of 8 percent we hit in late 2023, but they’re still pretty elevated compared to those ultra-low rates we got spoiled with a few years ago.
You’ve got more time to think things through – Days-on-market figures are creeping up a bit, with July NAR data showing that homes typically spent 28 days on the market before selling, compared to 24 days a year ago. This might not sound like a huge difference, but those extra few days can make a real difference when you’re trying to schedule inspections, get your financing lined up, and make one of the biggest decisions of your life without feeling rushed.
Way more options to choose from – Available housing inventory has risen significantly – it’s up a healthy 15.7 percent from last year and sitting at its highest level in five years. That gives buyers way more options to choose from, plus more time to actually make their decision. Remember all those crazy stories about bidding wars and homes selling within hours of being listed? Those situations are becoming much less common in most markets these days.
So is now actually a good time to buy?
Home prices are definitely sky-high, with NAR’s July data showing an incredible 25 consecutive months of year-over-year increases. When you combine that with these still-elevated mortgage rates, these factors might totally discourage you from buying right now – and honestly, that’s completely understandable.
But no matter which direction the real estate market is heading, buying now means you can start building equity in your own place immediately. It also means you’re avoiding the potential chaos of mortgage rate fluctuations down the road. Rising rates can absolutely wreck your monthly budget, and they also mean you’ll end up paying way more in interest over the entire life of your loan.
As Stacey Froelich, a broker with Compass in New York City, puts it: “If a buyer finds a property they would like to call home, they should not delay. You cannot time the market, and a home should be a long-term investment.”
There’s also this piece of wisdom that’s become really popular among real estate professionals: “Remember, you ‘marry the house and date the rate,'” says Melissa Cohn, regional vice president of William Raveis Mortgage in Connecticut. In other words, if you find the right place for you, go ahead and buy now – you can always refinance later if rates do drop significantly.
This philosophy actually makes a ton of sense when you really think about it. Your home is where you’re going to live, where you’ll make memories, where you’ll build your actual life. The interest rate? That’s just a number that can potentially change over time. You can refinance if rates drop, but you definitely can’t go back in time to buy that perfect house you let slip away because you were waiting for better conditions.
Three key questions to figure out if you’re ready
In general, if you can honestly answer yes to these three important questions, then yes, now is probably a good time for you to buy:
- Do you have excellent credit? Before you even start scrolling through house listings, check your credit score. The best mortgage deals are going to be available to people with the best scores – in fact, the median credit score of new mortgage borrowers in the first quarter of 2025 was really high, sitting between 750 and 800, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. If you’ve proven that you’re a low-risk borrower with a solid history of on-time payments, you’ll be in line for the lowest mortgage rates a lender can offer.
Your credit score isn’t just about whether you can qualify for a loan – it’s about how much that loan is actually going to cost you. Even a small difference in your interest rate can add up to thousands of dollars over the life of your mortgage. If your credit score needs some work, it might be worth taking some time to improve it before jumping into the market.
- Have you saved up enough for a down payment? In addition to paying your bills on time consistently, you should be sitting on a decent chunk of change for a down payment. The more you can pay upfront, the less you’ll have to borrow (and therefore the less interest you’ll have to pay). Make sure you’ll have plenty left over after that down payment, too. Lenders really like to see additional cash reserves that can provide a financial cushion if something unexpected happens.
This isn’t just about having the bare minimum down payment – it’s about having that money plus closing costs, plus moving expenses, plus an emergency fund for when the water heater decides to give up the ghost two weeks after you move in. Homeownership definitely comes with surprises, and you want to be financially prepared for them.
- Are you planning to stick around for a while? Beyond the purchase price itself, buying a home comes with closing costs that can easily run several thousand dollars more. So to really justify those one-time transaction costs, it’s smart to be reasonably sure that you won’t be moving again anytime soon – or that you’ll be financially stable enough to hold onto the property and rent it out if needed. Selling a home very soon after buying can have some serious tax implications too.
Think honestly about your life circumstances. Are you in a stable job that you like? Is your family situation likely to change dramatically in the next few years? Are you actually committed to the area where you’re looking to buy? These lifestyle factors can be just as important as all the financial considerations.
The real cost of waiting around
Here’s something that might actually surprise you: waiting for the “perfect” time to buy can end up costing you more money in the long run. Let’s break down exactly why this happens.
When home prices are increasing at that projected 3-4% annually, every single year you wait means that same house costs more money. On a $400,000 home, a 3% annual increase means that exact same house will cost $12,000 more next year. Even if mortgage rates dropped by a quarter or half a percentage point, you might not make up for that price increase.
Your mortgage rate definitely makes a big difference in how much house you can afford over the long run, but so does the actual purchase price. For example, if you buy a $350,000 home with a 20 percent down payment, the monthly payment for principal and interest on a 30-year loan with a 6.5 percent interest rate works out to $1,770. That same loan at 7.0 percent brings those monthly payments up to $1,863 – that’s $93 higher every single month. Over a year, that’s $1,116 more, and over the life of the entire loan, it’s more than $33,000 extra.
But here’s the flip side of that math: if that same $350,000 home ends up costing $360,000 next year due to appreciation, your monthly payment at the same 6.5% rate would be $1,834 – that’s $64 more per month than if you had just bought this year, even with the exact same interest rate.

When it actually makes sense to wait
Of course, it’s impossible to predict exactly where rates will end up eventually, and buying a home definitely isn’t right for everyone right now. Here are three specific situations where it might make more sense to wait out the market for at least a little while:
If home values in your area are actually dropping – The country’s overall median home price might be soaring to new heights, but some individual areas have still seen actual price declines. Those declines might not be finished yet, so it could really pay to be patient for a bit longer.
This is where local market knowledge becomes absolutely crucial. National trends don’t tell you the whole story about your specific area. Maybe your local economy has been hit by major job losses, or there’s been way too much building in certain neighborhoods. Understanding these local dynamics can help you make a much more informed decision.
If inventory in your area is increasing big time – When there are way more properties on the market to choose from, buyers get to enjoy more bargaining power. Many areas have seen a real jump in inventory recently, which certainly helps buyers. But according to NAR, the country overall had 4.6 months worth of housing supply in July – that’s still lower than the five-to-six months generally needed for what experts call a balanced market.
If your local market is seeing a significant increase in inventory, it might signal that you’ll have more choices and potentially way more negotiating power if you wait a bit longer. However, be careful not to wait so long that you miss good opportunities or that the increasing inventory trend suddenly reverses.
If your personal finances could use some serious work – The biggest reason to wait is if your current financial situation just isn’t quite ideal yet. For example, if you’re expecting a sizable commission check or bonus, an inheritance, or some other financial windfall that would make a big difference in your down payment situation, waiting until it actually arrives makes total sense. And if your credit score is on the lower side, waiting is definitely smart. Take some time to pay down your debt and improve your credit so you can qualify for much better loan terms.
This is probably the most important consideration of all. If your finances aren’t quite ready for homeownership – whether it’s your credit score, your savings account, your job stability, or your debt-to-income ratio – it’s way better to wait and get those things properly sorted out rather than rushing into a purchase you’re not really prepared for.

Really dig into your local market
Deciding whether to buy a house now or wait depends a whole lot on where you actually want to call home. Regardless of what the national headlines are saying, real estate is definitely a local game and can vary dramatically from one market to another, even within the same state or metro area.
Consider this real example: Redfin data from North Carolina’s Research Triangle cities of Raleigh and Chapel Hill, which are only about 30 miles away from each other. In July, both cities had relatively similar median home prices of $450,000 and $495,000, respectively. But Raleigh’s median price represents a 5.9 percent increase over last year, whereas Chapel Hill’s marks a big 18.2 percent slide. They’re super close geographically, with pretty similar pricing, but one market is clearly on the upswing while the other is in decline. That can make a huge difference for your buying strategy.
This example perfectly shows why you absolutely can’t make decisions based on national headlines alone. What’s actually happening in your specific market – your neighborhood, your price range, your type of property – that’s what really matters for your particular situation.
In today’s homebuying market, it’s more important than ever to find a real estate agent who really knows your local area inside and out – down to your specific neighborhood – and can help you successfully navigate all its unique quirks and characteristics. They should be able to tell you important things like:
- How long homes in your price range typically stay on the market
- Whether prices in your target neighborhoods are rising, falling, or staying pretty steady
- What kind of competition you’re likely to face from other buyers
- Whether there are any local factors (new employers moving in, major employers leaving, new developments being built) that could seriously affect property values
What if there’s a recession?
Talk of a possible recession has definitely been increasing lately, and as you might imagine, recessions can be a pretty risky time to buy a home. If you end up losing your job, for example, a lender will be much less likely to approve your loan application.
Even if a recession doesn’t affect you directly and personally, if your geographic area gets hit hard, that could have a serious effect on the local real estate market. Fewer people with the actual means to buy means a much lower chance of homes selling, which could keep homeowners from listing their properties and seriously decrease your options as a buyer.
But here’s something interesting to think about: there are actually some potential upsides to buying a home during a recession, if you’re financially able to do so. Most notably, there will be way less competition from other buyers, which could help you find a great property that you otherwise couldn’t afford or couldn’t compete for in a really hot market.
The key phrase there is “if you’re financially able to do so.” Recession-era home buying only makes sense if you have solid job security, strong savings, and the financial cushion to weather economic uncertainty without major stress. If you’re worried about your job or your overall financial stability, it’s probably much better to wait until things settle down and stabilize.
Your readiness matters more than perfect timing
Ultimately, the decision of when to buy a home is completely up to you. Life keeps moving forward, whether the timing feels perfect or not. If you’re really eager to become a homeowner, you’ve met all the financial criteria, and you’re genuinely financially stable, go ahead and start house-hunting with confidence.
If your credit score is strong, your employment situation is stable, and you have enough savings to cover a down payment and closing costs comfortably, buying now can definitely still be a smart move. But if your personal finances aren’t quite ideal at the moment, or if home values in your specific area are clearly on the decline, it might be better to wait and get things sorted out first.
The reality is that there’s never going to be a perfect time to buy a home. There will always be something – interest rates, home prices, economic uncertainty, personal circumstances, global events – that makes the timing feel less than ideal. The key is to focus on what you can actually control: your finances, your readiness for homeownership responsibilities, and your understanding of your local market conditions.
Your next steps for making this decision
Trying to buy a house right now might feel completely overwhelming, but waiting too long can definitely present its own challenges as well. Here’s what you should actually do:
Take a hard look at your finances – Review your credit score, your savings account, your debt-to-income ratio, and your job stability in detail. Be totally honest with yourself about whether you’re truly ready for homeownership from a financial perspective.
Figure out how much you can realistically pay upfront – Think carefully about how much you’re able to put down as a down payment. Remember, this includes not just the down payment itself, but also closing costs, moving expenses, and money left over for emergencies and immediate home needs that always seem to pop up.
Research what’s happening in your specific area – Take the pulse of the town where you’re hoping to live. Look at local market conditions, price trends, inventory levels, and economic factors that might affect property values in your area over the next few years.
Talk with an experienced local real estate agent – They can help you figure out whether you should buy now or wait until the market becomes a bit more friendly to your bank account. More importantly, they can help you understand what’s actually realistic in your local market and price range, not just what you see in national headlines.
Remember, homeownership is both a long-term investment and a major lifestyle choice. While it’s definitely important to be smart about timing and market conditions, it’s even more important to be ready personally and financially for all the responsibilities and rewards that come with owning your own home.
The experts consistently project that home prices will continue to rise over time, which means that waiting around for significant price drops might mean waiting forever. But that doesn’t mean you should rush into a purchase before you’re truly ready for it either.
The best time to buy a home is when you’re financially prepared, emotionally ready, and have found a property in a location where you genuinely want to put down roots for the long haul. Everything else – interest rates, market conditions, price predictions, economic forecasts – is really just noise around the edges of that fundamental decision.
So take a deep breath, do your homework thoroughly, and trust yourself to make the right choice for your specific situation. Whether you decide to buy now or wait a bit longer, make sure it’s a decision based on your actual readiness and circumstances, not on fear or pressure from external factors you can’t control anyway.



Not all agents are created equal. Some rock at first-time buyer hand-holding, others crush it with luxury listings. As Freddie Mac points out, you want someone who actually knows your specific situation inside and out.
Don’t rush this decision. Take time to think through your conversations with each potential agent. The right choice can make your real estate journey smooth and successful, while the wrong one can turn it into a stressful nightmare.













































